Functional Indices · Euro-AI Sovereign

Euro-AI Sovereign 50

The first index measuring Europe's irreplaceable position in the global AI supply chain. 50 investable companies. 11 legacy transformers on RI watch. 4 small-cap next heroes. 13 countries. 7 sectors. Three weighting methods. Proprietary Revenue Intelligence scoring — the same analytical depth institutions pay seven figures to access, published transparently.

Core NAV
50
20 Tier 1 + 30 Tier 2
Full Universe
65
+11 T3 Legacy · +4 T4 Watch
Combined MC
€2.4T
13 countries
Sectors
7
Semi to Defense
Base Value
1,000
October 1, 2024

The Thesis

Europe doesn't build frontier AI models. It doesn't run hyperscale clouds. But every AI chip on Earth passes through European machines, European valves, and European optics before it computes a single token.

ASML's EUV lithography has no substitute. VAT Group's vacuum valves seal every advanced fab chamber. BE Semiconductor's hybrid bonding stacks the memory that makes AI possible. Schneider and Eaton distribute the power. Munters cools the racks.

The Euro-AI Sovereign 50 measures this. Not by market cap alone, but by Revenue Intelligence — a proprietary score quantifying how much of each company's business is AI-linked. The result: an investable signal that no STOXX, MSCI, or US-centric index captures.

"Europe builds the atoms.
America runs the bits.
This index measures what Europe still owns."
Alignment with Rubin Build-Out 100: The Euro-AI Sovereign 50 is the European complement to the global Rubin Build-Out 100. Where Rubin maps the entire AI infrastructure supply chain (US, Asia, Europe), this index isolates Europe's sovereign contribution. 12 of the Euro-AI 50 constituents also appear in the Rubin 100 — validating the selection from a global supply-chain perspective while surfacing 38 companies invisible to US-centric AI indices.

Three Weighting Variants

Same 50 companies. Three lenses. The divergence between them is the product.

Flagship
EURAI-RI · RI-Weighted
1,000.00
MC × RI Score10% capHHI 550
Institutional
EURAI-MC · Capped Market Cap
1,000.00
Free-float MC8% capHHI 485
Diversified
EURAI-EW · Equal Weight
1,000.00
2% eachNo capHHI 200

7 Sectors

Semi Equipment
14 constituents · 28%
Power Grid & Cooling
10 constituents · 20%
Enterprise AI & Data
8 constituents · 16%
Industrial AI & Robotics
7 constituents · 14%
Defense & Aerospace
5 constituents · 10%
MedTech & Bio-AI
4 constituents · 8%
Chip Architecture & Cloud
2 constituents · 4%

Revenue Intelligence (RI) Score

The backbone of the index. RI quantifies how much of a company's economic activity — revenue, backlog, and R&D — is directly AI-linked. Updated quarterly with earnings.

Formula
RI = 0.50 × RevenueAI + 0.25 × BacklogAI + 0.25 × R&DAI
Tier 1 Threshold
RI ≥ 0.40 + bottleneck position
Tier 2 Threshold
RI ≥ 0.20 + upward trajectory
Rebalance
Quarterly — 3rd Friday of Feb, May, Aug, Nov
RI scores published 5 business days before. Per-company justification memo included.
✓ Counts as AI-Linked
  • EUV lithography systems
  • Data center power distribution & cooling
  • AI-native software (LLM, agentic, ML-core)
  • Defense AI platforms (sensor fusion, autonomous)
  • HBM packaging, advanced substrates
  • Hyperscaler confirmed backlog
✗ Does NOT Count
  • Legacy node semiconductor equipment
  • Residential electrical products
  • Traditional software with AI branding
  • Conventional munitions without AI guidance

Analysis Charts

Full charting with indicators, oscillators, and benchmark overlays. Identical Murphy-framework toolset as the Rubin Build-Out 100.

Index View
Analysis View (TradingView)
Benchmark Comparison
Symbol
Range
Index charts render live after Worker deployment · Base: October 1, 2024 · EUR
Open Full Charts →
Overlays
Oscillators
Euro-AI Sovereign 50 · Closelooknet Functional Indices Base 1,000 = October 1, 2024 · Daily in EUR

The Divergence Signal

Where RI-weight and cap-weight diverge reveals what Europe's AI economy looks like versus what market cap says it looks like. This is the editorial engine.

↑ RI Overweights — AI Purity Rewarded
ARM Holdings
7.73%10.00%+2.27
ASML
8.00%10.00%+2.00
SAP
8.00%10.00%+2.00
Infineon
2.38%2.94%+0.56
Nebius
0.53%1.08%+0.55
VAT Group
0.65%1.20%+0.55
↓ RI Underweights — Low AI % Penalized
Siemens AG
8.00%5.61%−2.39
Safran
4.16%1.87%−2.29
Atlas Copco
3.86%2.60%−1.26
Dassault
3.27%2.57%−0.70
Vestas
1.19%0.67%−0.52
Tier 1 gets 53.1% of RI-weighted capital vs 44.2% in cap-weight — a 9 percentage point conviction shift toward the companies you can't build AI without. When EURAI-RI and EURAI-MC converge, Europe's largest companies are becoming its most AI-relevant. When they diverge, legacy size and AI purity are telling different stories.

Benchmark Universe

Every constituent benchmarkable against the index. Every index variant benchmarkable against European and US indices. Same framework as Rubin Build-Out 100.

European Indices
STOXX 600, DAX 40, Euro Stoxx 50, CAC 40, SMI, OMX 30, STOXX 600 Technology / Health / Industrials
US Broad + Sector Indices
S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Nasdaq Composite, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, XLK (Info Tech), XLI (Industrials), XLV (Health), XLE, XLU
Semiconductor ETFs
SMH (VanEck), SOXX (iShares), PSI (Invesco Dynamic), SOXQ (PHLX Semi)
AI & Software ETFs
IGV (Software), WCLD (Cloud), ARKK (Innovation), BOTZ (Robotics), IRBO, ROBT, AIQ, QTUM
Infra & Power ETFs
PAVE (US Infra), IFRA (iShares Infra), QCLN (Clean Edge), ICLN (Clean Energy)
Defense ETFs
ITA (iShares A&D), PPA (Invesco A&D), DFEN (Direxion 3X Bull)
Cross-reference with Rubin Build-Out 100: 12 Euro-AI constituents overlap with the Rubin 100 (ASML, ASM, Besi, VAT, Infineon, Nebius, UiPath, ABB, SAP, Schneider, Siemens Energy, ARM). Benchmarking Euro-AI sectors against Rubin sectors validates whether European AI infra outperforms or lags the global supply chain.

All 50 Constituents

Euro-AI Sovereign 50 — Full Roster
#TierTickerCompanySectorMC €BRI ScoreRI-Wt%Cap-Wt%

Tier 3 — Legacy Transformers

€425B in European industrial giants pivoting to AI. Not in the NAV — but tracked quarterly for RI trajectory. When their AI revenue share crosses thresholds, they promote into the Core 50. The editorial companion to the investable index.

11 Legacy Transformers · Quarterly RI Watch NOT IN NAV — Editorial Companion
#TickerCompanySectorMC €BRI ScoreAI Pivot Story
Promotion rule: A Tier 3 company promotes to Tier 2 when its RI score exceeds 0.22 for two consecutive quarters AND market cap remains above €1.2B. Maximum 3 promotions per quarterly rebalance to limit turnover. The RI trajectory chart for each Tier 3 company is the leading indicator — rising RI on stable or growing revenue means the AI pivot is working.

Tier 4 — Watchlist · Small-Cap Next Heroes

Pre-eligibility radar. Sub-€1.2B market cap companies with high RI scores and structural positions in the AI supply chain. These are the names that could 3–5× into Tier 2 eligibility. The small-cap discovery engine.

Why Tier 4 Matters
Every current Tier 1 pure-play was once a small-cap unknown. SUSS MicroTec (€1B) is the smallest Tier 1 today — it was sub-€300M two years ago. VAT Group was a Swiss niche play before AI fabs made vacuum valves critical.

Tier 4 is where the next SUSS, the next VAT, the next Munters lives. These companies have the RI scores but not yet the market cap. The moment they cross €1.2B with RI ≥ 0.22, they enter the promotion pipeline.

Combined Tier 4 MC: €2.3B — smaller than a single mid-cap, but structurally positioned at bottleneck nodes.

Access

Institutional-grade methodology published with full transparency. The same analytical depth and rigor, without the access barrier.

Institutional-grade methodology published with full transparency. The same analytical depth and rigor, without the access barrier.

Signal
$12
per month
  • Daily NAV — all 3 variants
  • Constituent list (50 companies)
  • Quarterly RI score updates
  • Sector & country heatmaps
Institutional
$150
per month
  • Everything in Professional
  • Downloadable data (CSV/API)
  • Custom weighting scenarios
  • Rebalance preview (5 days early)
  • Direct analyst access
  • Backtest data from base date