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IAP · Pulse 6 of 8 · Agentic Demand Family v3 · monthly composite

Industrial / Physical Agent Pulse

The third wave of agentic AI — agents that move atoms, not just bits. Factory automation, robotics, machine vision, industrial-CAD with virtual-twin AI, embedded silicon for sensor fusion, edge gateways for remote deployment, automotive autonomous-vehicle stack. Six sub-baskets, monthly composite (industrial-CAPEX-cycle is 5-15 years; faster cadence would be noise). LSCC explicit here for low-power-FPGA on the embedded edge — moved out of CEP per v3 spec because FPGA is industrial/control, not consumer.

Composite 68.8 / 100 Scaling
As ofOct 12, 2026, 08:00 AM UTC
Tickers covered25
InternationalDE · CH · FR · JP · TW
History · momentum Rising +29.2 pts recent

20 points · since 2026-05-27

Multi-Basket Equity Gaps

Six sub-baskets organized by industrial-vertical. Heavy international representation (Siemens DE, ABB CH, Schneider FR, Fanuc/Yaskawa/Keyence JP, Advantech TW). Embedded Semis is the leading-indicator sub-basket — when physical/industrial agents start showing up, FPGA + embedded NPU + sensor-fusion silicon picks up first.

Sub-BasketVerticalWeight21d Basket ReturnScoreTickers
Embedded Semis Low-power FPGA + embedded MCU/NPU for sensor fusion + industrial control 20% +7.11% 85.6 LSCC · NXPI · STM · ADI · TXN
Industrial Automation Factory-automation order intake + agentic-overlay platforms 20% +0.60% 53.0 ROK · EMR · SIE.DE · ABBN.SW · SU.PA
Robotics / Machine Vision Robotic-controller shipments + machine-vision components 20% +1.91% 59.5 CGNX · 6954.T · 6506.T · TER · 6861.T
Industrial Software Industrial-CAD + Simulation + Virtual-Twin with agentic-AI overlays 15% +27.48% 100.0 PTC · SNPS · DSY.PA
Edge Gateways Rugged edge-server adoption for factory + remote AI deployment 10% +18.06% 100.0 DELL · HPE · 2395.TW
Auto / Physical AI Automotive AI design-wins + autonomous-vehicle stack 15% -2.81% 36.0 QCOM · NXPI · STM · MBLY

Earnings-NLP module breakdown

Module Weight Raw signal Score Status
Industrial automation orders — signal 65/100 64.9 live · 2026Q3, 2026Q2, 2026Q1
Evidence — ROK 72/100 · EMR 62/100 · SIE.DE 74/100 · SU.PA 52/100
ROK 2026Q3 scaling · accelerating confidence: high
  • Organic sales growth (total company): 10% YoY (+10% YoY)
  • Intelligent Devices organic sales growth: 10% YoY (+10% YoY)
  • Software & Control organic sales growth: 18% YoY (+18% YoY)
  • E-commerce & Warehouse Automation sales growth: 30% YoY (+30% YoY)
  • Discrete sales growth: high teens YoY
  • Semiconductor sales growth: strong double-digit YoY
“Q3 sales came in above our expectations. Reported sales were up 8% and organic sales were up 10%...E-commerce & Warehouse Automation sales were up 30% year-over-year...Semiconductor delivered another strong quarter...Data center remained a ”
EMR 2026Q3 scaling · accelerating confidence: high
  • Underlying orders growth: 7% Q3 2026 (+7% YoY)
  • Project funnel: $12.4 billion (+8% YoY)
  • Backlog: $8.2 billion (+7% YoY)
  • Software & Systems orders growth: 10%
  • Ovation orders growth: 31%
  • Test & Measurement orders growth: 19%
“Underlying orders grew 7% in the third quarter, with broad-based growth across all business groups, led by Software & Systems, which was up 10%... Our project funnel grew $1.2 billion to $12.4 billion, up 8% year-over-year.”
SIE.DE 2026Q2 scaling · accelerating confidence: high
  • DI orders: EUR 4.8 billion (+12% YoY)
  • DI book-to-bill: 1.03
  • DI automation revenue: EUR 3 billion (+6% YoY)
  • DI backlog: EUR 10.2 billion
  • DI revenue growth (FY2026 guidance midpoint): 7%-10%
  • DI profitability: 18.5%
“DI's automation revenue was up by 6% to EUR 3 billion, led by the short-cycle factory automation business... April shows another strong growth, even above our forecast — automation globally. China industrial market is recovering.”
SU.PA 2026Q1 early · steady confidence: medium
  • Industrial Automation revenue growth (organic): +4% organic Q1 2026 (+4% YoY)
  • Systems business revenue growth (organic): +16% organic Q1 2026 (+16% YoY)
  • Discrete Automation growth: broad-based recovery, positive momentum
  • Software ARR growth: +12% Q1 2026 (+12% YoY)
“Industrial Automation delivered growth above 4%...broad-based recovery in Discrete Automation. ARR in software was up 12%.”

Extracted from company earnings-call transcripts (AlphaVantage for US; Yahoo/Quartr for EU/JP) via Claude Sonnet, temperature 0, confidence-damped. Diary entry on our process, not investment advice.

Robotics + machine-vision — signal 68/100 65.3 live · 2026Q1
Evidence — 6954.T 68/100 · 6506.T 68/100
6954.T 2026Q1 scaling · accelerating confidence: medium
  • Physical AI projects converting to orders: several thousand units (Q3 pipeline now converting)
  • Orders vs. initial expectations (Physical AI): exceeded initial expectations
  • ROBOMACHINE Q4 orders: 43.8 billion yen
  • Share buyback program: up to 50 billion yen
“The 'projects involving several thousand units' mentioned in Q3 have steadily been converting into orders...orders have exceeded our initial expectations, and we believe a portion is due to the favorable assessment of Physical AI.”
6506.T 2026Q1 scaling · accelerating confidence: high
  • MOTOMAN NEXT units under deployment: more than 200 units
  • Semiconductor-related orders QoQ growth (4Q): approximately 1.5 times QoQ
  • Semiconductor-related orders QoQ growth (3Q): 40% QoQ
  • Robot shipments for semiconductor applications: expected to reach all-time high in FY2026
  • MOTOMAN NEXT revenue milestone: over 1 billion yen range
  • AC servo semiconductor end-market exposure: approximately 25%
“Shipments of robots for semiconductor applications are expected to reach an all-time high this fiscal year and remain extremely strong... More than 200 units of MOTOMAN NEXT are reportedly under deployment.”

Extracted from company earnings-call transcripts (AlphaVantage for US; Yahoo/Quartr for EU/JP) via Claude Sonnet, temperature 0, confidence-damped. Diary entry on our process, not investment advice.

Auto / physical-AI design-wins — — 50 (neutral) stubbed

The three Earnings-NLP modules together carry 25% of the composite (sub-baskets 75%). Industrial-automation-orders and robotics-shipment-velocity now read live from earnings-call transcripts (Rockwell, Emerson, ABB, Siemens, Schneider; Fanuc, Yaskawa, Cognex, Teradyne); auto-design-wins remains stubbed. Expand “Evidence” for the underlying metrics and verbatim quotes.

Methodology

IAP is Pulse 6 of 8 — the industrial/physical agent layer. The Closelooknet v3 spec calls this the "third wave": structurally enormous TAM (trillions), but slow adoption-curve and fragmented public data. IAP is more watchlist than active-trading-signal — monthly cadence reflects that industrial-CAPEX cycles are 5-15 years, not quarters.

Six sub-baskets weighted Embedded Semis 20% + Industrial Automation 20% + Robotics/Vision 20% + Industrial Software 15% + Edge Gateways 10% + Auto/Physical AI 15%. Stock-price layer pulls from Closelooknet Data Lake. The three Earnings-NLP modules (25% of composite) are broken out in the module table above — industrial-automation-orders and robotics-shipment-velocity read live from earnings-call transcripts.

Cross-pulse-cross-read: IAP↑ + LSCC/NXPI/STM↑ = physical/industrial agents show up in embedded semis FIRST. IAP↑ + EIP-flat = edge-driven industrial AI, less cloud-dependent — LSCC/STM bull setup. Note: Synopsys (SNPS) now includes Ansys post-2024-acquisition; the industrial-software basket reflects that consolidation.

Pulse reading is a diary entry on our process, not investment advice.

FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-10-12

Quick answers

What does the Industrial / Physical Agent Pulse measure?

IAP tracks the "third wave" of agentic AI — agents that move atoms, not just bits — across factory automation, robotics, machine vision, industrial CAD virtual-twin AI, embedded sensor-fusion silicon, edge gateways and the automotive autonomous-vehicle stack, on a monthly composite.

What is the current IAP composite reading?

As of Oct 12, 2026, 08:00 AM UTC, the IAP composite reads 68.8 out of 100, a Scaling momentum regime, across 25 covered tickers.

How are the six IAP sub-baskets weighted?

Embedded Semis, Industrial Automation and Robotics/Vision each carry 20%, Industrial Software 15%, Auto/Physical AI 15%, and Edge Gateways 10%.

Why is the IAP composite monthly rather than daily or weekly?

Industrial capex cycles run 5 to 15 years, so faster cadences would be noise. IAP is built as more of a watchlist than an active-trading signal, tracking a structurally large but slow-moving addressable market.