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State Street® SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust (SPY) — Technical state
As of 2026-10-12 — re-computed nightly across the coverage universe. Closelooknet diary readings, not advice.
Uptrend stack intact
Trades +1.3% vs the 50-day and +7.7% vs the 200-day average, 0.5% below the 52-week high and +23.6% off the 52-week low. Computed from daily closes.
The moving-average stack
- vs 20-day+1.2%
- vs 50-day+1.3%
- vs 200-day+7.7%
- 52-week band0.5% off the high · +23.6% off the low
- Streak1 consecutive down session
- 50-day crossprice crossed up through the 50-day 17 sessions ago
- Stochastic%K 84.6 · %D 78.1 · bull cross
Continue: the SPY chart & overview · the signal board
FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-10-12
Quick answers
What is the current Closelooknet signal on SPY?
Uptrend stack intact — Trades +1.3% vs the 50-day and +7.7% vs the 200-day average, 0.5% below the 52-week high and +23.6% off the 52-week low. Computed from daily closes. As of 2026-10-12; the signal board re-computes across the coverage universe nightly. A research diary reading, not advice.
Is SPY above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?
As of 2026-10-12, State Street® SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust trades +1.3% above its 50-day and +7.7% above its 200-day average, with the 20-day +1.2% away.
How far is SPY from its 52-week high?
0.5% below the 52-week high and 23.6% above the 52-week low, as of 2026-10-12.
Mentioned on Closelooknet
Where SPY appears in the diary — 105 pieces, newest first. Every link is our own writing.
Long reads
- Earnings — Post-Earnings Announcement Drift
The CAR was almost identical at T+3 (−13.97%) and T+63 (−14.03%) — but the underlying mechanic differed: T+3 was the immediate gap-down reaction; T+63 was the SPY rally (+7.14%) that CRM didn't participate in (−6.89% absolute).
- Financials — The Early Warning Has Turned, for Now
Table as text Episode S&P peak XLF peak XLF ahead by S&P low XLF low XLF ahead by Dot-com Aug 2000 Dec 2000 −4 months Sep 2002 Sep 2002 0 Financial crisis Oct 2007 May 2007 +5 months Feb 2009 Feb 2009 0 2011 Apr 2011 Feb 2011 +2…
- Magnificent Seven — Without Tesla, the Six Are Beating the Market
Table as text Basket Week 1 month 3 months 2026 1 year Mag-6 (ex Tesla), equal weight +2.8% +7.9% +22.3% +14.1% +19.3% Mag-7, equal weight +2.7% +7.6% +19.0% +9.6% +14.8% Tesla +2.2% +6.2% −0.8% −17.3% −12.1% S&P 500 (SPY) +1.3% +0.7%…
- Software vs Semis — The Axis Turned
The broad-index version: SPXT / SPY over one year.
- Gold and Bitcoin — The Hedges Bear No Interest
- AI Capex — The Tell Fired Twice
The week, for the record Closelook indices (EW) Week Post-print (Wed→Fri) Markets (wk) Rubin Build-Out +0.4% −4.3% S&P 500 (SPY) −0.6% Agentic Infrastructure −2.9% −2.4% Nasdaq-100 (QQQ) −1.6% · 684.23, below the 686.37 floor Agentic…
- Sector Rotation — Three Rotations, One Week
- Earnings Season — The Bar Meets Its First Prints
101 and glossary
- Beta Convexity
How Closelooknet Measures It Closelooknet's market-structure toolbox computes up-beta and down-beta per name against SPY as the benchmark, reporting the convexity gap alongside other structural metrics such as drawdown behavior.
- Bollinger Coiling: When Volatility Compresses Before Expanding
Coils in the macro basket — particularly in SPY, QQQ, and TLT — are disproportionately informative.
- Cascade Tracker: The 5-Domino Model of Regime Breakdown
If pairs break out-of-order (say, TLT-SPY before QQQ-SPY), it signals something unusual about the stress source — rate-driven rather than risk-appetite-driven, for example.
- Cointegration: When the Rules of the Game Change
The SPY/GLD relationship, the equity-bond correlation, the gold-dollar inverse — these are the structural assumptions that underpin portfolio construction.
- Hurst Exponent: Persistence, Mean-Reversion, or Random Walk
For a pair like SPY-GLD, the spread's Hurst tells you whether the current market is treating the relationship as a mean-reverting equilibrium (healthy) or as a trending divergence (breaking).
- Money Temperature: Measuring Regime Intensity, Not Predicting Direction
The practical value comes from cross-reading: when SPY reads 72 and TLT reads 25, that configuration has a name, a history, and actionable implications.
- Sector Relative Strength: RRG Without the Jargon
Time Horizons 21-day RRG : Tactical rotation, useful for short-term positioning 63-day RRG : Medium-term sector cycles, useful for portfolio tilts 252-day RRG : Structural rotation, useful for thematic positioning Closelooknet’s Lab…
- Stack Flip: When Price Crosses the 200-Day Moving Average
Ignoring flips in major macro instruments (SPY, QQQ, TLT, GLD) means missing the moments when regimes visibly change.
Dailies
- Korea — Kospi −5.5% breaks its 18-month uptrend; SK Hynix and Samsung about −8% on a China memory scare
- Chips — memory and optics sold again: Lumentum −7.7%, SanDisk −6.5%, chip fund −2.6%; Meta +3.8%
- Korea — Kospi −3.5% on its first day back as chipmakers catch up; SpaceX deal sinks T-Mobile 13%
- AI Capex — chip index −3.4% after OpenAI's revenue comes in at $50 billion, not $70 billion; software rises
- AI Trade — cloud fund +2.9% on a second up day, security +2.7%; chips −0.9% again, Delta −1.6% on fuel
- Fed — minutes point to another rate hike by year-end; Samsung earns a record $80 billion in one quarter
- Oil — Brent +3.4% to $103.64, energy the only strong sector; chips and power generators sold, PepsiCo +1.1%
- Stocks — broadly lower after the records: Russell 2000 −1.4%, power and cooling names sold, Penguin +15.3%