NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) — Technical state

Long reads

• NVIDIA 2030Dossier · $49 · 24 Mar 2026The market still prices NVIDIA as a chipmaker.
• Industrial & Physical AI: Global Dependencies 2026–2030Dossier · $29 · 6 Mar 2026On the physical AI platform layer, NVIDIA's Omniverse has become the de facto operating system for industrial digital twins — Siemens, Dassault Systèmes, Rockwell, Schaeffler, PepsiCo, and BMW all build on its libraries.
• Where to Invest in the AI Chip Constraint ChainDossier · $29 · 3 Mar 2026The market is paying a massive premium for AI chip design (Nvidia, AMD) while underpricing the physical supply chain that makes those chips real.
• Agentic Infrastructure Software: The Orchestration LayerDossier · $39 · 24 Feb 2026The release of NVIDIA's BlueField-4 DPU serves as final confirmation that the data center is being re-architected for agents.
• Who Owns the AI Chip Buildout?Dossier · $39 · 12 Feb 2026SK Hynix sole primary Nvidia HBM supplier.
• AI Economy — Three Futures for 2030, and the One the Model Leaves OutReport · 14 Sept 2026The capital stock that the extreme scenario needs — 56% above its no-AI path by 2030, 14% in the substantial case — is being ordered now, and the ordering is itself a demand shock the model does not carry: Alphabet’s…
• Google and RSI — The Loop Nobody Has ClosedReport · 13 Sept 2026
• Magnificent Seven — The Seven at the ShelfWeekly Signal · 30 Aug 2026Nvidia guided to a demand book it cannot fully supply, the market spent the week selling beats across the software tape, and the indices went nowhere: the Nasdaq 100 fund +0.42% on the week at 716.43.

101 and glossary

• ABR — Agent Beneficiary Ratio: Scoring AI Disruption Impact101Key Companies NVDA NVIDIA Natural Position — infrastructure provider CRM Salesforce Cannibalize or Die — Agentforce pivot SNOW Snowflake Natural Position — data infrastructure for agents ZEN Zendesk Terminal — agents replace tier-1 support
• AI Infrastructure Outlook 2026: Layers, Risks, and Positioning101NVIDIA Blackwell is ramping, but the stock prices in perfection.
• Inference Economics: How the Training-to-Inference Shift Changes Everything101The companies that win the training phase (NVIDIA) may not be the same ones that dominate inference.
• NVIDIA Investor's Timeline: Hopper to Blackwell to Rubin and Beyond101NVIDIA releases new GPU architectures on roughly annual cadence: Hopper (2022), Blackwell (2024-2025), Rubin (2026), and a next-generation architecture (2027+).
• Sovereign AI: The National Compute Arms Race and Its Investment Map101The investment implications span from NVIDIA (selling DGX Cloud to governments globally) to Nebius (Yandex spin-off building European sovereign cloud) to Dell and HPE (on-premises AI infrastructure for nations with data residency…
• The 6-Layer Model: How Closelooknet Maps the AI Supply Chain101Compute (Layer 4) is where NVIDIA dominates but custom ASICs are emerging.
• The Greeks: Reading the Options Dashboard101The same nominal trade — “sell a put on NVDA” — can have completely different risk profiles depending on strike, expiry, and IV environment.

Dailies

• Tech — the tape buys the reporters: Nasdaq-100 +1.1%, Meta +2.4%, Tesla +3.6% hours before their printsMidday 10 · 21 Oct 2026The bid is broad: the semiconductor ETF SOXX gains 1.9%, fabless semis 2.3%, cloud 2.4%, Nvidia 1.8% to 220.39.
• Chips — one day of bounce, then Asia sells it: Kospi −4.3%, SK Hynix −5.3%, Nasdaq futures lowerMorning 10 · 20 Oct 2026The one unambiguous buy of the session was Amazon: +5.0% to 262.45, leading the Dow, after Morgan Stanley named it a 'Top Pick' with a $350 target — and after Amazon released a tool that aims straight at Nvidia's software moat.
• Chips — the open follows Seoul, then turns: chip index from −2.4% to +0.7%; small caps +1.6%Midday 10 · 20 Oct 2026Micron +0.9% to 913.00, AMD +0.9% to 542.73, Broadcom +0.4%, Nvidia +0.1% to 217.38.
• AI Trade — builders and runners sold, users bought: chips enter a bear market, Accenture +9.9% on the weekMorning 10 · 19 Oct 2026The chip fund SOXX fell 4.1% to 493.39 (24.7% below its June high); SMH, heavier in Nvidia, is 19.3% below.
• Chips — bounce 2.5% to break an eight-day losing run; QQQ back above 720, AI users still boughtMidday 10 · 19 Oct 2026Micron is up 3.3%, AMD 3.2%, Broadcom 2.6%, TSMC's US shares 2.5% and Nvidia 1.9%.
• AI Trade — TSMC is ‘prudent’ on 2027: chip fund −2.0%, Dell −7.7%; software bought, Dow +0.9%Midday 10 · 15 Oct 2026AMD −3.8%, Marvell −3.2%, Nvidia and Broadcom −1.7%.
• Chips — SOXX −3.7%, now 20% below its June high; software −2.4% as hot inflation and BlackRock weighMidday 10 · 14 Oct 2026AMD −4.9%, Applied Materials −3.2%, Broadcom and TSMC −2.7%, Nvidia and Micron −2.7%.
• Earnings — J&J −6.2% and Citi −3.8% after beats; Micron −5.1%, chip fund back under its 50-day lineMidday 10 · 13 Oct 2026Nvidia +0.5%, AMD +0.5% and Broadcom +0.3% hold up — the selling is in memory and the machine makers, not in the chip designers.